Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Corners over/under: Under 11.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
83.6%
exp. goals
2.21
edge
+8.7%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
23.05.26
0:2
Under 2.5
22.03.26
4:0
Over 2.5 won
21.12.25
0:1
Under 2.5
05.10.25
1:3
Over 2.5 won