Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
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TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
77.7%
exp. goals
2.73
edge
-6.8%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
10.09.25
2:1
Over 2.5 won
05.04.25
1:2
Over 2.5 won
28.08.24
0:4
Over 2.5 won
09.12.23
4:1
Over 2.5 won