Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
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TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
77.9%
exp. goals
2.81
edge
-11.2%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
20.12.25
0:5
Over 2.5 won
09.08.25
0:2
Under 2.5
12.04.25
0:3
Over 2.5 won
16.11.24
3:1
Over 2.5 won