Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 1
1 author
50%
Total goals (match): Over 3.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Over 2.5
Total goals (match)
probability
69.8%
exp. goals
3.34
edge
-8.6%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
27.04.26
0:2
Under 2.5
08.11.25
6:2
Over 2.5 won
18.07.25
2:1
Over 2.5 won
05.10.24
7:0
Over 2.5 won