Premier League
05.09 · 16:00
· Finished
Aktobe
1 : 0
Zhenys
11.82
X3.52
24.32
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.85.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Under 2.5
1.85
low
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
78.5%
exp. goals
2.32
edge
-0.3%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
19.04.26
0:1
Under 2.5
03.08.25
0:2
Under 2.5
03.05.25
1:0
Under 2.5
13.04.25
0:1
Under 2.5