Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Which team has more corners: 2
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 2.5
Total goals (match)
probability
68.1%
exp. goals
2.02
edge
+9%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
26.04.26
0:1
Under 2.5
22.10.23
2:2
Over 2.5 won
29.06.23
1:2
Over 2.5 won