Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
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Модель TheAnalyticD
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
76.5%
exp. goals
2.44
edge
+4%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
26.04.26
4:3
Over 2.5 won
26.07.25
0:1
Under 2.5
06.04.25
2:0
Under 2.5
05.10.24
1:1
Under 2.5