Matches / Liga Pro / Macara — Manta FC · Match statistics on TheAnalytic →
Liga Pro 02.09 · 22:00 · Finished
Macara
home
Macara
4 : 3
Manta FC
Manta FC
away
11.48 X4.25 27.5
2 picks on the match 0 disagree with the model

Average odds 1.42.

Where the authors lean

Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 1 1 author
Corners over/under: Under 11.5 1 author

Your own pick on the match

Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.

TheAnalyticD model

Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability 78.9% exp. goals 2.37 edge +1%
The model disagrees with the majority

Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.

Head-to-head

11.05.26 1:0 Under 2.5
27.09.25 3:1 Over 2.5 won
31.05.25 2:2 Over 2.5 won
19.10.23 1:3 Over 2.5 won