Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 3.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
1
Match result
probability
80.3%
exp. goals
3.29
edge
-13.3%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
24.04.26
4:1
Over 2.5 won
07.11.25
3:2
Over 2.5 won
18.07.25
1:0
Under 2.5
22.09.23
7:3
Over 2.5 won