Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Both teams to score: No
1 author
50%
Total goals (match): Under 3.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
83.4%
exp. goals
2.82
edge
-9.9%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
24.04.26
0:3
Over 2.5 won
03.10.25
1:1
Under 2.5
16.05.25
3:1
Over 2.5 won
18.10.24
4:1
Over 2.5 won