Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 4.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Over 2.5
Total goals (match)
probability
68.4%
exp. goals
3.27
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
17.05.26
3:5
Over 2.5 won
08.06.24
2:0
Under 2.5
03.03.24
3:5
Over 2.5 won
24.07.22
0:3
Over 2.5 won