Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Over 4.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Over 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
71.4%
exp. goals
3.93
edge
+26.4%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
22.06.26
0:6
Over 2.5 won
02.05.26
3:4
Over 2.5 won
06.03.26
0:2
Under 2.5