Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Over 3.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
83.5%
exp. goals
2.82
edge
-5.6%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
09.09.25
1:0
Under 2.5
10.07.24
1:2
Over 2.5 won
02.09.23
3:0
Over 2.5 won
03.07.23
0:0
Under 2.5