Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 4.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
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Модель TheAnalyticD
Over 2.5
Total goals (match)
probability
70.1%
exp. goals
3.34
edge
-8.9%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
08.05.26
3:2
Over 2.5 won
26.09.25
5:6
Over 2.5 won
09.05.25
1:3
Over 2.5 won