Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (home): Over 1.5
1 author
50%
Match result: 2
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Over 2.5
Total goals (match)
probability
78.7%
exp. goals
3.65
edge
+2.3%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
18.04.26
2:2
Over 2.5 won
24.09.23
3:1
Over 2.5 won
02.06.23
0:1
Under 2.5