Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 2
1 author
50%
Match result: 1
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Over 2.5
Total goals (match)
probability
67.2%
exp. goals
3.21
edge
-4.6%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
28.03.26
1:2
Over 2.5 won
16.08.25
2:3
Over 2.5 won
17.05.25
3:1
Over 2.5 won
03.08.24
1:3
Over 2.5 won