Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 2
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
78.2%
exp. goals
2.44
edge
-0.7%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
21.05.26
0:1
Under 2.5
03.04.26
2:1
Over 2.5 won
22.09.20
2:1
Over 2.5 won