Úrvalsdeild
05.09 · 19:30
· Finished
Keflavik
1 : 2
Valur Reykjavik
12.14
X4.12
22.93
1
pick on the match
1
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.12.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
1
2.12
medium
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 1
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
75.1%
exp. goals
3.21
edge
-21.9%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
21.06.26
1:1
Under 2.5
09.06.24
3:3
Over 2.5 won
13.08.23
1:1
Under 2.5
21.05.23
0:0
Under 2.5