Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 3.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
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Модель TheAnalyticD
Over 2.5
Total goals (match)
probability
67.1%
exp. goals
3.24
edge
-15.5%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
21.06.26
1:3
Over 2.5 won
03.08.25
1:1
Under 2.5
11.05.25
0:1
Under 2.5
30.03.25
1:3
Over 2.5 won