Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 4.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
83.8%
exp. goals
2.93
edge
-10.3%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
14.06.26
2:1
Over 2.5 won
26.02.24
1:4
Over 2.5 won
31.07.23
3:2
Over 2.5 won
08.05.23
2:1
Over 2.5 won