Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 2
1 author
50%
Exact number of goals (away): Over 1.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
77%
exp. goals
2.38
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
20.05.26
0:1
Under 2.5
03.04.26
1:0
Under 2.5
27.10.23
1:6
Over 2.5 won
18.08.23
1:4
Over 2.5 won