Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Over 2.5
1 author
50%
Exact number of goals (away): Under 0.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 3.5
Yellow cards over/under
probability
77.7%
exp. goals
2.60
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
31.01.26
0:1
Under 2.5
10.05.21
1:0
Under 2.5
07.02.21
1:2
Over 2.5 won
21.10.20
0:2
Under 2.5