Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
80.7%
exp. goals
3.21
edge
-12%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
17.05.26
0:5
Over 2.5 won
21.08.21
1:2
Over 2.5 won
11.04.21
2:0
Under 2.5
21.11.20
3:0
Over 2.5 won