Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Over 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
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Модель TheAnalyticD
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
81.9%
exp. goals
2.14
edge
-10.7%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
26.04.26
0:0
Under 2.5
16.08.25
2:3
Over 2.5 won
29.03.25
3:3
Over 2.5 won
14.07.24
0:1
Under 2.5