Matches / Primera Nacional / Patronato — Almagro · Match statistics on TheAnalytic →
Primera Nacional 30.08 · 21:30 · Finished
Patronato
home
Patronato
0 : 1
Almagro
Almagro
away
11.7 X3.44 26.5
1 pick on the match 1 disagree with the model

Average odds 2.18.

Picks on the match

1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author Stake Odds Confidence
TheAnalyticC model TheAnalyticC model model retroactive* 5 rating place · bankroll 2% Under 8.5 2.18 low

Where the authors lean

Distribution of picks across selections
Corners over/under: Under 8.5 1 author

Your own pick on the match

Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.

TheAnalyticD model

Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability 84.3% exp. goals 2.04 edge -1.4%
The model disagrees with the majority

Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.

Head-to-head

28.09.25 0:0 Under 2.5
25.05.25 1:2 Over 2.5 won
07.10.23 1:2 Over 2.5 won
28.05.23 1:0 Under 2.5