Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: X
1 author
50%
Corners over/under: Over 8.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 2.5
Total goals (match)
probability
80.4%
exp. goals
1.71
edge
+6.9%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
12.04.26
0:2
Under 2.5
26.02.22
2:2
Over 2.5 won