Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Corners over/under: Over 8.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
83.4%
exp. goals
2.93
edge
+0.9%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
30.05.26
1:2
Over 2.5 won
24.09.25
2:2
Over 2.5 won
19.04.25
2:2
Over 2.5 won
30.09.23
0:2
Under 2.5