Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Over 4.5
1 author
50%
Total goals (match): Over 2.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Over 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
80.7%
exp. goals
4.32
edge
+10.6%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
04.05.26
0:3
Over 2.5 won
04.08.25
2:3
Over 2.5 won
28.04.25
3:1
Over 2.5 won