Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (home): Over 1.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
1
Match result
probability
70.5%
exp. goals
4.49
edge
+9.3%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
25.04.26
1:2
Over 2.5 won
30.08.21
2:0
Under 2.5