Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 3.5
1 author
50%
Total goals (match): Under 4.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Under 4.5
Yellow cards over/under
probability
71.3%
exp. goals
3.23
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
16.05.26
3:0
Over 2.5 won
25.10.25
1:0
Under 2.5
24.05.25
2:1
Over 2.5 won
15.02.25
2:3
Over 2.5 won