Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 1
1 author
33%
Corners over/under: Over 11.5
1 author
33%
Which team has more corners: 2
1 author
33%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
82.2%
exp. goals
2.02
edge
+6.9%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
12.04.26
3:0
Over 2.5 won
20.10.25
0:1
Under 2.5
30.03.25
5:0
Over 2.5 won
07.10.23
0:0
Under 2.5