Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (away): Under 1.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
79.5%
exp. goals
2.54
edge
-7%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
24.05.26
2:1
Over 2.5 won
19.10.25
1:2
Over 2.5 won
18.05.25
0:0
Under 2.5
29.09.24
1:0
Under 2.5