Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (home): Under 0.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
84.1%
exp. goals
2.22
edge
+7.6%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
07.06.26
1:1
Under 2.5
22.03.26
1:1
Under 2.5
28.09.25
1:0
Under 2.5
10.08.25
0:1
Under 2.5