Matches / USL Championship / Monterey Bay — Sacramento Republic · Match statistics on TheAnalytic →
USL Championship 30.08 · 05:00 · Finished
Monterey Bay
home
Monterey Bay
1 : 1
Sacramento Republic
Sacramento Republic
away
13.55 X3.56 22.14
1 pick on the match 1 disagree with the model

Average odds 2.85.

Picks on the match

1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author Stake Odds Confidence
TheAnalyticD model TheAnalyticD model model retroactive* 7 rating place · bankroll 2% Under 0.5 2.85 medium

Where the authors lean

Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (home): Under 0.5 1 author

Your own pick on the match

Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.

TheAnalyticD model

Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability 84.1% exp. goals 2.22 edge +7.6%
The model disagrees with the majority

Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.

Head-to-head

07.06.26 1:1 Under 2.5
22.03.26 1:1 Under 2.5
28.09.25 1:0 Under 2.5
10.08.25 0:1 Under 2.5