USL Championship
27.08 · 04:30
· Finished
New Mexico United
2 : 1
Lexington
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.65.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
1
2.65
medium
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 1
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
77.5%
exp. goals
2.56
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
16.07.26
4:1
Over 2.5 won
29.09.25
2:1
Over 2.5 won
15.06.25
1:2
Over 2.5 won