Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (home): Under 0.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 2.5
Total goals (match)
probability
83.2%
exp. goals
1.68
edge
+8.2%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
03.03.26
0:0
Under 2.5
14.10.25
1:1
Under 2.5
07.04.25
0:1
Under 2.5
08.11.24
0:0
Under 2.5