Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 1
1 author
50%
Corners over/under: Over 8.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 3.5
Yellow cards over/under
probability
72.8%
exp. goals
2.07
edge
+1.2%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
24.02.26
0:0
Under 2.5
15.09.25
1:2
Over 2.5 won
05.03.25
1:0
Under 2.5
29.07.24
1:3
Over 2.5 won