Serie A
03.09 · 01:30
· Finished
Flamengo
2 : 0
Mirassol
11.23
X7.6
217
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.88.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Under 23.5
1.88
high
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Fouls over/under: Under 23.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
78%
exp. goals
2.78
edge
-8.7%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
17.08.26
5:1
Over 2.5 won
07.12.25
3:3
Over 2.5 won
10.08.25
2:1
Over 2.5 won