Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Corners over/under: Under 9.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
84.8%
exp. goals
3.10
edge
-0.8%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
10.03.24
3:2
Over 2.5 won
16.04.23
1:2
Over 2.5 won
01.02.23
0:2
Under 2.5
09.04.21
2:3
Over 2.5 won