Matches
/
Major League Soccer
/
New York Red Bulls — Philadelphia Union
·
Match statistics on TheAnalytic →
Major League Soccer
30.08 · 02:30
· Finished
New York Red Bulls
1 : 3
Philadelphia Union
2
picks on the match
2
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.57.
Picks on the match
2 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
2
2.23
low
Under 2.5
2.90
high
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 2
1 author
50%
Total goals (match): Under 2.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
83.4%
exp. goals
2.79
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
23.07.26
1:3
Over 2.5 won
17.08.25
1:0
Under 2.5
14.08.25
2:3
Over 2.5 won
13.07.25
0:2
Under 2.5